It was a good news, bad news kind of day for Chevron (CVX) yesterday, after it told investors that it would meet guidance for the third quarter but that its profit would plunge 31% from a year ago during the fourth.
Reuters Unlike last year, when Chevron’s refining business was a drag on earnings while its so-called upstream business fired on all cylinders, now refining is providing the boost. That’s good news for Exxon Mobil (XOM) and refiners, says Morgan Stanley’s Evan Calio and Manav Gupta. They explain:
We believe capture rates [how much of the difference between the cost of oil and refined products a company can earn. Ed. ] troughed in 3Q13 and most US refiners will show a quarter-over-quarter improvement as differentials were widening and the WTI curve moved to contango from backwardation. Positive refining revisions will positively impact [Exxon Mobil] more than [Chevron], as [Exxon Mobil] has significantly more absolute N. American refining capacity. Marketing margins [the margins from selling the finished product to the retail market. Ed.] also improved 17% q/q and 32% q/q on [West Coast] and [Gulf Coast] respectively, a positive indicator for refiners with retail operation [(Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Tesoro (TSO), Phillips 66 (PSX), Western Refining (WNR) & Delek US (DK))].
Shares of Chevron have dropped 2% to $1220.77, while Exxon Mobil has fallen 0.4% to $99.37, Marathon Petroleum has dipped 0.3% to $90.79, Tesoro has declined 1.3% to $57.23, Western Refining has slipped 1.2% to $40.79 and Delek US has dropped 1.7% to $33.31. Phillips 66 is little changed at $78.15.
No comments:
Post a Comment